Anyone with an account can launch a market. How to write a question that can be settled cleanly, what it costs, and how creators earn from their markets.
You do not have to wait for someone else to ask the question you care about. Any registered user can create a market on Sabula 256. This guide covers the steps and, more importantly, how to write a question that works.
You can create up to 5 markets in a day.
Most problems with markets come from vague questions. A good question passes three tests.
It has one clear answer. "Will KCCA FC win the league?" is clear. "Will KCCA FC have a good season?" is not, because people will disagree about what "good" means.
It has a date. "Will the dollar trade above UGX 3,700?" needs a deadline. "Will the Bank of Uganda mid-rate for the US dollar be above UGX 3,700 on 31 March?" can be settled.
It names how it will be checked. Say what counts as proof: an official announcement, a published rate, a final score. Put this in the description so everyone predicting knows the rules before staking.
Avoid questions about private individuals, questions you could influence yourself, and anything that cannot be verified from a public source.
Markets created by users are settled by the Sabula 256 admin team once the result is known. A community market needs at least two predictors other than its creator to be settled as a normal market.
When a market you created settles and its total pool is UGX 50,000 or more, you receive 2% of the pool. Markets below that size do not carry the platform fee or the creator share.
That means the way to earn from a market is to ask a question people genuinely disagree about, and share it with people who have a view.
You can suggest a market instead. Other users vote on proposals, and popular ones can be turned into live markets.
For the basics of pools and payouts, see how prediction markets work.
Want to predict what happens next?
Join the market, back your side, and win on MTN or Airtel Mobile Money.
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