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Uganda economy prediction markets

Economy markets turn the numbers that affect everyday life in Uganda into clear questions: where the shilling will trade against the dollar, whether pump prices rise, what the Bank of Uganda does with its policy rate, how coffee and other export prices move.

Check the rules on each market page before you predict — they describe what the market will be settled on.

Open economy markets (6)

  • Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach $100,000 before December 31, 2026?

    OpenPool UGX 3.0MLeading: Yes - BTC hits $100K (61%)Closes 31 Dec 2026

  • Will USD/UGX cross 4,000 before December 31, 2026?

    OpenPool UGX 2.5MLeading: Yes - crosses 4,000 (55%)Closes 31 Dec 2026

  • Will Kampala petrol prices exceed UGX 7,000/litre before December 31?

    OpenPool UGX 750KLeading: Yes - above UGX 7,000 (53%)Closes 31 Dec 2026

  • Will Uganda October 2026 headline inflation exceed 4%?

    OpenPool UGX 700KLeading: No - 4% or below (59%)Closes 20 Nov 2026

  • Will Uganda's coffee export earnings exceed $1.2 billion USD in FY2025/26?

    OpenPool UGX 520KLeading: YES — above $1.2B (56%)Closes 31 Dec 2026

Will the Minister of Finance announce an NSSF annual interest rate payout to savers of greater than 10.5% for the last financial year?

OpenPool UGX 520KLeading: YES (58%)Closes 1 Dec 2026

Recently closed and settled

  • Will the Bank of Uganda cut its Central Bank Rate in October 2026?

    ClosedPool UGX 700KClosed 31 Oct 2026

  • Will the Uganda Revenue Authority (URA) report a net increase in PAYE collections for July/August following the threshold increase to UGX 335,000?

    Settled

  • Will any commercial bank listed on the USE (Uganda Securities Exchange) issue a new public corporate bond?

    ClosedClosed 5 Sept 2026

  • Will any major telecom introduce a daily "unlimited data bundle" priced under UGX 2,500

    ClosedClosed 31 Aug 2026

  • Will the cabinet approve a supplementary budget exceeding UGX 10 billion for the drought and hunger crisis in Northern Uganda ?

    SettledClosed 15 Aug 2026

  • Will the USD/UGX exchange rate cross 3,900 before October 1?

    ClosedClosed 1 Oct 2026

  • Will the Bank of Uganda hold its Central Bank Rate in August 2026?

    SettledClosed 15 Aug 2026

  • Will Kampala petrol prices exceed UGX 6,500/litre by September 1?

    ClosedPool UGX 1KClosed 1 Sept 2026

  • Will MTN Uganda H1 2026 service revenue grow by at least 8% year-on-year?

    SettledClosed 5 Aug 2026

  • Will USD/UGX be above 3,750 on August 31, 2026?

    ClosedClosed 31 Aug 2026

  • Will August 2026 Uganda inflation be higher than July's figure?

    SettledClosed 28 Aug 2026

  • Will Uganda headline inflation for July 2026 exceed 4.0%?

    SettledPool UGX 1KClosed 30 Jul 2026

How these markets work

Pick an outcome and stake from UGX 1,000 using your wallet, funded by MTN or Airtel Mobile Money. All stakes go into one pool. When the market is settled, winners share the pool in proportion to their stake; an 8% platform fee applies only to pools of UGX 50,000 or more. You must be 18 or older.

How prediction markets workDeposits and withdrawalsResponsible play

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